Skubick: Can Trump win Michigan?

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, left, stands with Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton before the first presidential debate at Hofstra University, Monday, Sept. 26, 2016, in Hempstead, N.Y. (AP Photo/ Evan Vucci)

EAST LANSING, Mich (WLNS) – A Michigan State University researcher believes there are not enough voters in Michigan to elect Donald Trump.

MSU researchers believe that Donald Trump is getting his support in Michigan from less-educated white voters, voters who think society is changing too fast and voters have negative attitudes on race.

“People who have more negative attitudes about African-Americans than whites or Latinos than whites are overwhelmingly supporting Donald Trump,” says Matt Grossman. “People who don’t feel that way are more likely to support Hillary Clinton.

The MSU survey covered the period of September 1 to October 30 and it reports that Donald Trump never had a lead in this state.

He came close to beating her after the third debate but then then she opened a lead.

Pollster Steve Mitchell has Ms. Clinton with a seven-point lead, but five other national polls have Mr. Trump in the lead and thirteen have her in the lead.

Professor Grossmann has also identified another issue that separates the two candidates; the rate of social change. “Trump supporters believe the country is changing too fast and under-minding our values whereas Hillary Clinton supporters believe the country is improving by accepting diversity in culture and life styles.”

So are there enough Michigan voters from those groups to elect Mr. Trump?

Grossman doesn’t think so. “It doesn’t look like it. He would have to get a surge of new or non-traditional Republican voters from that less-educated white population and it doesn’t look like he can.”

Because he’s been to Michigan six times, obviously the Trump camp believes he can win this state.

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