Skubick: How the pollsters punted the primary

LANSING, Mich. (WLNS) – The pollsters are trying to piece together why Bernie Sanders beat Hillary Clinton in Michigan after all the pre-voting data showed her winning by a wide margin.

What did the pollsters miss? “Younger voters and the turnout,” says EPIC-MRA pollster Bernie Porn.

Younger voters, driven by the desire for free college tuition, showed up in larger numbers than the pollsters anticipated.

And they brought something else to the party: passion.

“There is, I think, clearly more passion in Bernie’s presentation than there is in Hillary’s,” adds Mr. Porn.

In many respects, Mr. Sanders and Mr. Trump are tapping into a gold mine – voters who are anti-establishment.

“I think that was attractive to voters much more than Hillary, I think she was perceived with more establishment.”

The African-American vote in Detroit was a key factor in the outcome. The turnout was lower than normal, and he, Mr. Sanders, got 30 percent of that vote. And there were the independent voters who played a role too.

“I think it’s his passion plus I think there is to a certain extent Clinton fatigue. She has higher overall unfavorable numbers among independent voters,” says Mr. Porn.

And the polling numbers were also so far off because some surveys did not include cell phones.

Add all of these factors underscore the old adage: polls don’t vote, people do and yesterday they did for him, and not for her.

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